Table 3 Predicted number of decedents and non-decedents with palliative care needs in Chile in 2021 and 2050 by group of conditions

Cancer

Decedents

26,086.5 (25,755.9–26,425.3)

39,521.1 (38,636.3–40,438.9)

1.52 (1.49–1.54)

Non-decedents

23,790.2 (23,530.3–24,053.8)

35,904.3 (35,209.4–36,613.3)

1.51 (1.48–1.53)

Total

49,876.7 (49,286.2–50,479.1)

75,425.4 (73,845.8–77,052.2)

1.51 (1.50–1.53)

Cardiovascular diseases

Decedents

11,673.1 (11,431.6–11,923.3)

26,242.0 (25,161.9–27,371.5)

2.25 (2.20–2.30)

Non-decedents

5364.4 (5274.1–5456.8)

5447.2 (5279.4–5620.4)

1.02 (0.98–1.05)

Total

17,037.5 (16,705.7–17,380.1)

31,689.2 (30,441.3–32,991.9)

1.86 (1.83–1.89)

Chronic organ failure

Decedents

10,714.9 (10,390.5–11,054.7)

18,620.3 (17,554.4–19,758.7)

1.74 (1.70–1.78)

Non-decedents

980.7 (910.5–1057.5)

1774.1 (1561.3–2016.4)

1.81 (1.67–1.96)

Total

11,695.6 (11,301.0–12,112.2)

20,394.3 (19,115.7–21,775.0)

1.74 (1.70–1.78)

Dementia

Decedents

3889.1 (3801.5–3980.5)

11,291.5 (10,743.3–11,868.9)

2.90 (2.80–3.01)

Non-decedents

13,961.8 (13,647.6–14,290.1)

40,536.4 (38,568.4–42,609.4)

2.90 (2.85–2.96)

Total

17,850.8 (17,449.1–18,270.6)

51,827.8 (49,311.7–54,478.3)

2.90 (2.85–2.95)

Communicable diseases

Decedents

786.0 (701.9–896.9)

1462.3 (761.5–3593.2)

1.86 (1.71–2.03)

Non-decedents

7785.9 (7174.6–8480.8)

7360.0 (5857.1–10,421.1)

0.95 (0.92–0.98)

Total

8572.0 (7876.5–9377.8)

8822.3 (6618.6–14,014.3)

1.03 (1.00–1.06)

Other

Decedents

4446.2 (4243.1–4671.8)

7671.4 (6888.6–8580.4)

1.73 (1.66–1.79)

Non-decedents

6985.6 (6706.5–7295.0)

12,666.0 (11,431.4–14,098.0)

1.81 (1.76–1.87)

Total

11,431.8 (10,949.6–11,966.8)

20,337.4 (18,320.0–22,678.4)

1.78 (1.74–1.82)